Steve Hilton, a legal immigrant and political newcomer running as a Republican for governor of California, said the “absolute failure on every front” by current Gov. Gavin Newsom and Democrats means the GOP has a real shot at pulling off an upset in the Golden State. [More]
And he appears to understand 2A…
So are my critics right, and will I have to eat my words?
This “anecdote and isolated example” aside, it’s on them to show how legal immigrants who become naturalized citizens will vote our way gun issues, because the polls I’ve found say they overwhelmingly vote against us.
Plus, the California vote is hardly a lock and urban populations will decide it.
Then again, sometimes I wonder why I bother.
“… and will I have to eat my words?”
The laws of thermodynamics, temperature and pressure of a gas follow along a pretty well established statistical path. We can take appropriate measurements at a given time and predict with very high precision what the gas will be doing in the future. But none of that will tell us what any specific gas molecule in the sample is doing or what it will be doing at any time in the future.
People really aren’t all that different except that, unlike gas molecules, people can change their minds, and that changes their behavior. We also can get into trouble by lumping people into a group they really don’t belong in. Carlos Mencia says when he’s in California, he’s a Mexican, in New York, he’s a Puerto Rican, and in Miami, he’s a Cuban. He then asks where he has to go to be a Honduran. But it’s even more complicated than that. The Castro refugee Cubans in South Florida are Trump supporters. But their kids like Bernie Sanders. I do know that in Miami-Dade County, on a weekend you may have to wait an hour to get a position on the firing line at Trail-Glades Range, a county park. And the conversations around you while you cool your heels will predominately be in Spanish. Similarly, the gun shows at the Miami-Dade County Youth Fair Grounds are always packed. I don’t know which country(s) they are from. But I know they love to buy guns and to go to the range and shoot them. How they vote is a matter of public record. How will they vote in the future? Like Yogi Berra said, “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”
You can make predictions of what a group is likely to do in the future based on what they have done in the past. Pollsters do that every day. And lately they’ve been getting their a$$es handed to them.
So, will you have to eat your words? Maybe, maybe not. But say what you feel regardless. Just try to keep your words edible just in case.